| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +19.8% | +19.8% |
| 3d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +18.0% | +18.0% |
| 1w | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +11.6% | +11.6% |
| 1m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +43.1% | +43.1% |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author is holding SMCI shares from mid-$20s with conviction until at least 1/1/27, implying confidence in significant appreciation over the holding period.
Long-dated call options (July 2027 expiry) on SMCI representing a full portfolio commitment. Author expects significant upside over the next 3+ years, betting on company appreciation to multi-year highs.
End of results.