| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3d | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1w | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1y | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Lowe's has fallen 28% YTD, which the author views as justifiable given prior revenue deceleration, though recent quarterly growth has returned. The decline aligns with fundamental deterioration rather than irrational selling.
Home Depot has fallen 19% YTD despite solid revenue growth over the past three years and three consecutive quarters of quarterly growth, plus consistent dividend growth. The selloff appears disproportionate to fundamentals, suggesting potential upside.
Applovin's stock fell 35% post-earnings despite 50%+ revenue and net profit growth due to market pessimism on SaaS valuations. The author's DCF analysis indicates 45-50% undervaluation, suggesting significant upside as fundamentals improve and sentiment normalizes.
End of results.