| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3d | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +13.4% | +13.4% |
| 1w | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +11.6% | +11.6% |
| 1m | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.3% | +2.3% |
| 3m | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | -14.1% | -14.1% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Reddit call options (OTM) are positioned for explosive upside as the stock matures its ad monetization and realizes data deal value. The $200 and beyond strikes reflect conviction in a multi-year bull thesis driven by ARPU expansion and advertiser adoption.
Reddit is undervalued relative to growth (70% revenue, triple-digit EPS growth) with PEG under 0.3, signaling cheap valuation. The platform is transitioning to a tier-1 ad player through niche community targeting and high-intent advertising, while data licensing deals set for 2027 renewal will multiply revenue. Author expects 3x upside to $500 by year-end given monetization acceleration and minimal recession risk.
End of results.