| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| 3d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| 1w | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| 1m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
California utilities have been oversold following the failure of wildfire legislation; EIX down 25% with a 6.5% dividend yield and solid 2.8x dividend coverage suggests the market has overreacted to a tail risk. Author expects at least a near-term dead cat bounce and owns call options for upside exposure.
Charter's Cox acquisition and Liberty Broadband merger are complete, establishing a ~177mm share count. With expected 2027-2028 FCF of $6.1-9B ($42.50/share at midpoint vs. current $145), combined with planned debt reduction at discounts, one-time gains, and share buybacks, Charter appears significantly undervalued on a levered FCF basis.
End of results.