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u/WallDirect8507

2 theses · first seen Sep 4, 2026
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Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$NKEr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisneutral
u/WallDirect8507 · 2h ago1 prior · awaiting results

Nike: A Difficult Turnaround At A Price That Offers Little Margin Of Safety (NKE)

Nike is undergoing a strategic turnaround toward performance-focused products with improved organizational structure, but faces serious competition from Hoka and On and uncertain execution. At current valuation of 21x adjusted earnings and 27x P/FCF, the stock offers insufficient margin of safety; the author rates it a Hold and would only consider a cautious 5% position below $35 per share.

Now $38.40as of Sep 4, 4:30 PM ET
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$CBOXr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish
u/WallDirect8507 · 4d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Cake Box Holdings: A Quality Growth Business at a Bargain Valuation

Cake Box is a capital-light, franchise-driven UK cake retailer with strong growth momentum (store count 113→276, revenue £16.9M→£45.9M) and international expansion potential. Trading at attractive valuation (P/FCF 10.5, 5.5% dividend yield) with a path to 400+ stores plus the Ambala acquisition as a new growth lever; fair value estimated at £3/share implies 12-19% annual returns.

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End of results.