319k GOOGL Yolo
Author bought 1000 shares of GOOGL at $319.35 expecting the stock to reach $399 in the next few months for an $80k profit.
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author bought 1000 shares of GOOGL at $319.35 expecting the stock to reach $399 in the next few months for an $80k profit.
Google's Q2 GAAP earnings will significantly exceed consensus estimates due to a large mark-to-market gain on its ~5-6% SpaceX stake (~$70B increase from Q1 to Q2), which analysts haven't factored into the $2.89 EPS estimate. A potential 140%+ earnings beat headline will drive investor attention; the asset is now liquid post-IPO and available as collateral, addressing bear case concerns about capex pressuring free cash flow.
GOOGL is coiling under the $368–372 resistance shelf with a higher low at $340, setting up for a break to $408.61 ATH and beyond. Open interest stacked at the 8/21 $415 strike signals crowd conviction, and the author expects better-than-even odds of tagging $400 before the July 29 earnings.
GOOGL is trapped in a $341-350 range due to underwriter hedging of a $30B equity raise, but structural catalysts—Dow inclusion (June 26), July 17 call expiration, and Q2 earnings/Gemini 3.5 Pro launch (July 22)—will lift this cap. Author targets $380-390 via August 21 calls, expecting post-earnings breakout after underwriter stabilization period ends.
Google owns 10% of SpaceX and will benefit from its growth; smart money is accumulating Google leaps at discounted prices while the stock is 15% off ATH with no competitive end in sight. Author expects GOOGL to reach $500 by end of year.
Recent dilution news has been overblown. The author expects Google to bounce back and rally to $380+, implying near-term upside from current levels.
Google is positioned as the dominant leader (the final boss) among mega-cap tech stocks.
Author holds deep OTM LEAPS on GOOGL and achieved a 100x return, realizing 900k in gains while maintaining exposure to Dec 2027 365C positions. The author believes strongly in the company's fundamentals and expects continued upside.
After a period of weakness, the author believes Google is back on track for recovery and upside. The post expresses confidence that the near-term turbulence is behind us.
Author bought $150k of GOOGL LEAPS in Aug 2024 when stock was around $175, betting on long-dated upside in Google. The position has generated substantial gains, turning $4k initial capital into $1M over ~one year through options.
Google is winning the AI war against OpenAI through superior model releases (Gemini 3.0) and deep integration across its product suite (search, YouTube, Waymo). As the most profitable company in the world growing rapidly at scale, Google is positioned for continued gains.
Author was bullish on Google through Oct 31 expiry, holding 4000 contracts of 255 calls. Position collapsed from $3.8M peak to $1.6M in 4 days amid market decline.
Google was undervalued at $148 on P/E fundamentals and strong AI positioning. The author executed a tactical call-selling strategy, repeatedly buying 5% OTM calls 30 days out on weakness and selling into strength to compound gains over five months.
Author repeatedly YOLO'd into GOOGL calls on major pullbacks, including after Apple congressional testimony news. Despite weak recent performance, the strategy of buying dips generated substantial profits.
End of results.