$META

52 theses

bullish 71%neutral 2%bearish 27%

Avg return (3m)

-0.1%

Win rate (3m)

30% (23 resolved)

1d 3d 1w 1m 3m 6m 1y

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

Prices as of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

$METAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish

u/Thelakefeben · 37h ago5 prior · awaiting results

“another 60k reserve for next week; contracts with May expiration; plan to sell half at earnings, other half after”

Meta Q4 calls

Meta will crush Q4 earnings with meaningful Muse metrics (user growth, order volume) that offset negative FCF and demonstrate value of AI agents for holiday shopping. If Muse metrics improve materially, the bull case can push META to $800 despite dilution and capex concerns.

At post $648.85Now $642.62-1.0% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish

u/Technical-Potato-829 · 10d agono track record yet

Meta will outperform

Meta's multiple expansion reflects Wall Street's confidence it will become the hardware, software, and distribution layer of the next computing platform through Muse smart glasses. The thesis shifts from advertising cyclical to essential compute platform, with hands-free AI-powered devices unlocking new use cases and freeing Meta from app-store dependency.

At post $762.50Now $642.62-15.7% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-3.3%

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1w-9.0%

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish

u/Thelakefeben · 11d ago5 prior · awaiting results

“position not provided in post body”

Meta bears this our time.

Meta is lagging in the AI race and will face sustained FCF pressure from massive CAPEX spending. Rising analyst price targets ahead of earnings are a bull trap; the stock will decline as negative FCF and lack of meaningful Muse monetization become apparent.

At post $762.50Now $642.62-15.7% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-3.3%

3d-7.0%

1w-9.0%

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$METAr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish

u/bobo-the-merciful · 12d ago5 prior · awaiting results

Using Warren Buffet's Owners Earnings on Tech Stocks: Warning not for "growth" investors

Meta's forward owner earnings yield is only 4.8% under base case and deeply negative at −2.7% under strict case when all capex is counted as required. The company does not meet the author's >10% owner earnings yield threshold for value investment.

At post $742.96Now $642.62-13.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish

u/isomojo · 15d ago2 prior · awaiting results

I believe Open AI will be the yahoo of the AI era.

Meta's ability to integrate AI across Facebook, Instagram, and other apps provides a moat that OpenAI lacks, positioning META to win the AI competitive battle.

At post $720.89Now $642.62-10.9% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-0.3%

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$METAr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish

u/jackandjillonthehill · 22d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Making sense of Muse, the agentic model, and evaporating cash flow at META and GOOG

Meta's free agentic Muse model generates massive token consumption with unclear monetization strategy. The variable costs of token-intensive agentic tasks will likely outpace any transaction-fee revenue, driving free cash flow further into decline despite near-term optimization claims.

At post $725.93Now $642.62-11.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$METAr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisneutral

u/PrimarySourceArb · 24d ago3 prior · awaiting results

NetEase earns Meta's margins at Meta's growth rate. It trades at half the multiple. I went through 14 companies to figure out how much of the discount is real.

Meta serves as a valuation benchmark in the analysis, growing at 18.0% with 41% EBIT margins and trading at 21.6x forward earnings. The comparison highlights the discount applied to fundamentally similar Chinese companies rather than a directional view on Meta itself.

At post $725.18Now $642.62-11.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+0.1%

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish

u/Swimmer-Fine · 29d agono track record yet

Long META

META printer went BRRRR — $205K in one month 🚀

Author bought META during a consolidation phase in AI names, viewing it as a relatively stable and undervalued Magnificent 7 member compared to more volatile AI peers. The significant gain ($205K in one month) validates the thesis that META offered better risk-adjusted upside.

At post $777.59Now $642.62-17.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-3.3%

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$METAr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/TalVal_Research · 30d ago2 prior · awaiting results

An AI agent doesn't click on ads. Alphabet lost $163B on Wednesday

Meta's Muse AI agent monetizes transactions through fees rather than ads, positioning Meta to capture value from agent-driven commerce while Alphabet's ad-dependent model faces headwinds. Meta's 21% rally since launch suggests market confidence in this alternative revenue model.

At post $777.59Now $642.62-17.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-3.3%

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$METAr/ValueInvestingAI-Written Contentbearish

u/Artistic_Diver8781 · 30d ago3 prior · awaiting results

The Market Is Overestimating Meta’s Muse. AI Isn’t Ready to Take Over Consumer Tasks

Meta's MUSE AI agent is overvalued because AI agents lack the infrastructure, reliability, and standardized task handling needed for mainstream consumer adoption. The market is overstating MUSE's impact since it only lowers barriers to existing capabilities without addressing fundamental technical and economic constraints.

At post $777.59Now $642.62-17.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish

u/Madison_369 · 32d agono track record yet

What changed the narrative on META?

META is positioned to sell personal AI agents directly to consumers, a strategic advantage Zuckerberg laid out in his vision. The market narrative has shifted positively on this thesis over the past month, making it a compelling rotation target from MSFT.

At post $736.60Now $642.62-12.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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1m-11.9%

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish

u/seasonofillusions · 32d agono track record yet

“250 $670 calls (most ended up worthless), position actively rolled throughout the week with partial profits taken”

How to make $600K in a week on $META

Meta's Muse release represents a narrative pivot from an AI money-loser to an AI winner, triggering rapid stock repricing. The author profited from this shift by actively trading call options, rolling strikes and expiries, and taking partial profits to manage theta decay.

At post $736.60Now $642.62-12.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+1.0%

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1m-11.9%

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish

u/Winning-Goal4484 · 32d agono track record yet

Long META

Thank you Meta

Author bought Meta in January 2026 and is holding through early 2027 despite recent bad news, suggesting conviction in long-term upside and using tax-loss harvesting or holding period strategy.

At post $736.60Now $642.62-12.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+1.0%

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1m-11.9%

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsLossbearish

u/IlinistRainbow6 · 32d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Long META puts

META puts. -$24,635 in one day.

Author bought META puts and lost $24,635 in one day, indicating a bearish directional bet on the stock that resulted in a significant loss.

At post $736.60Now $642.62-12.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+1.0%

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1m-11.9%

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish

u/Onnimation · 32d agono track record yet

“Full ported META puts in one of my accounts, $180K”

FULL PORT META PUTS $180K

Author is bearish on META believing the stock will decline after a news event. The author tested META's new AI Muse app and found it significantly inferior to ChatGPT, suggesting disappointed investor reception and a sell-the-news dynamic.

At post $741.25Now $642.62-13.3% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-0.6%

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish

u/IlinistRainbow6 · 33d ago1 prior · awaiting results

“META $702.5 P”

No way this could go tits up

Author is short a META $702.5 put, betting that META will not stay elevated and expecting the position to lose money (implying price decline expected or volatility crush to hurt the short put).

At post $741.25Now $642.62-13.3% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-0.6%

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish

u/Funny-Sprinkles-5674 · 35d agono track record yet

Long 225 shares of META

META gains 2026

Author holds 225 META shares with ~$700 cost basis and expects the stock to reach ~$800 by year-end to realize $100K in total gains. The post reflects conviction that META will continue its strong run from 2026.

At post $665.23Now $642.62-3.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$METAr/ValueInvestingAI-Written Contentbullish

u/raytoei · 44d ago25 prior · 60% at 3mo

Meta’s AI Agent Muse Has Arrived. Alphabet and Amazon Should Watch Out —Barrons’s

Meta's Muse AI agent positions the company to capture a substantial portion of the estimated $30 trillion consumer AI agent market. Integration with Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and other datasets gives Meta an edge in creating personalized agents with monetizable behaviors, despite execution risks.

At post $653.17Now $642.62-1.6% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-1.4%

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$METAr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish

u/Scary-Oven8260 · 44d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Meta is so cheap, but it is wasting hundreds of billions dollar on non core business

Meta is wasting hundreds of billions on personal AI that will not succeed in the near term, similar to past failed products. When this reality becomes clear and management doubles down on failed strategy, the share price will decline from current levels.

At post $653.17Now $642.62-1.6% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$METAr/wallstreetbetsDDbearish

u/Thelakefeben · 45d ago5 prior · awaiting results

“buy $META LEAPS next earnings if it drops to below $600 or better $560 is my clear target to get 1/15/2028 strike price $550”

In $UBER I trust

META faces significant headwinds from escalating capex spending through 2028 with no clear monetization path for computing infrastructure, and next earnings will disappoint on both missed guidance and continued capex growth. The author expects a correction to $560 or below before considering LEAPS entry.

At post $653.17Now $642.62-1.6% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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