$UWMC

2 theses
bullish 100%neutral 0%bearish 0%
Avg return (3m)
Win rate (3m)
(0 resolved)

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

Prices as of Aug 14, 4:26 PM ET
$UWMCDDbullish
u/richyfin · 45d ago1 prior · awaiting results

$UWMC - Mat’s Golden Nugget

UWMC is trading at an all-time low of ~$2 with capitulation signals and management buying. The company trades at 4.9 P/E (base case) to 2.7 P/E (bull case) with 44% mortgage market share and ~11% of all US mortgages. Dividend reduction, stabilized MSR values from higher rates, and potential cash generation as rates fall provide multiple catalysts for reversion.

At post $2.29Now $1.59-30.6% since postedas of Aug 14, 4:26 PM ET
1d-3.1%
3d-5.2%
1w-10.0%
1m-18.8%
3m
6m
1y
original post →
$UWMCDDbullish
u/richyfin · 45d ago1 prior · awaiting results

$UWMC - Mat’s Golden Nugget

UWMC trades at an all-time low with signs of capitulation (volume spike) and CEO has stopped selling, signaling undervaluation. Base case P/E of 4.9 on $680M earnings or bull case P/E of 2.7 on $1.2B earnings offer strong margin of safety, especially given the company's 44% market share in residential mortgage wholesale and status as originator of 10-12% of all US mortgages.

At post $2.29Now $1.59-30.6% since postedas of Aug 14, 4:26 PM ET
1d-3.1%
3d-5.2%
1w-10.0%
1m-18.8%
3m
6m
1y
original post →

End of results.