| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
| 3d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 1w | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 1m | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.8% | +2.8% |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Microsoft is undervalued with significant upside potential. The author went all-in at $350 and has realized a 25% gain in three trading days, anticipating continued momentum toward all-time highs.
Microsoft is undervalued at a P/E of 22 (historically low) versus peers like Alphabet and Amazon. Strong Azure growth catalysts from OpenAI's ChatGPT deployment and broader cloud adoption will justify a return to historical 30-35 P/E multiples.
Microsoft is undervalued at a P/E of 22 (historical low) relative to Alphabet and Amazon, both up significantly since January 2024. High capex for Azure and cloud infrastructure will generate growth, with ChatGPT exclusively running on Microsoft Cloud and ample runway for general cloud adoption.
End of results.