$MSFT

63 theses

bullish 81%neutral 3%bearish 16%

Avg return (3m)

+15.4%

Win rate (3m)

77% (48 resolved)

1d 3d 1w 1m 3m 6m 1y

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

Prices as of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/Invest-With-J · 32h ago3 prior · awaiting results

I Rather Invest in the Hyperscaler Cloud Names Than the Neocloud Names (and it's not even close)

Microsoft is a proven hyperscaler with established cash flows, financial flexibility, and diversified businesses better positioned than neoclouds to fund massive AI capex. Even if AI ROI disappoints or an AI bubble bursts, Microsoft's optionality, network effects, and profitability provide downside protection that neoclouds lack.

At post $521.08Now $524.51+0.7% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+0.7%

3d—

1w—

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish

u/bobo-the-merciful · 12d ago5 prior · awaiting results

Using Warren Buffet's Owners Earnings on Tech Stocks: Warning not for "growth" investors

Microsoft's forward owner earnings yield is only 3.7% base case and 0.5% strict case, falling significantly short of the author's >10% valuation requirement for value-oriented investing.

At post $541.15Now $524.51-3.1% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d-1.4%

1w-2.2%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish

u/mindful_ness · 12d agono track record yet

“deep ITM LEAPS on Microsoft mid-2027 and 2028 expiration dates with deep value strikes ($200, $215, $390)”

Small gains

Author has generated significant gains from deep in-the-money LEAPS on Microsoft with mid-2027 and 2028 expirations at deep value strikes, positioning for long-term upside.

At post $541.15Now $524.51-3.1% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d-1.4%

1w-2.2%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbearish

u/isomojo · 15d ago2 prior · awaiting results

I believe Open AI will be the yahoo of the AI era.

OpenAI will lose the AI race to competitors like Claude and Muse due to lack of moat, and Microsoft's shift away from OpenAI toward Claude signals weakness in MSFT's AI strategy and valuation.

At post $522.61Now $524.51+0.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+2.4%

3d+2.4%

1w+3.2%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/Conscious_Virus_4546 · 22d ago5 prior · awaiting results

Long MSFT

Stocks that Im buying/bought this year

MSFT is trading at a 19x forward PE with 20-30% growth expectations and faces limited disruption risk to Office; the company maintains a fortress balance sheet with significant cash flow and no recent equity or debt issuance.

At post $517.53Now $524.51+1.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d+1.5%

1w+3.4%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish

u/Doral1729 · 27d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Long MSFT

Microsoft - Going Long / Burry is going Short

Author is long Microsoft shares purchased at $360 targeting $765 by 2030, citing strong brand moat across M365, Azure, and Copilot, combined with strategic investments in AI (Anthropic and OpenAI), quantum computing, and gaming that create durable competitive advantages.

At post $509.22Now $524.51+3.0% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d-0.1%

1w+1.6%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/BeVeracious · 39d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Microsoft or Apple - which one is better value?

Microsoft is better positioned for AI value creation through heavy capex investment in infrastructure, CoPilot product integration, and enterprise positioning. Azure's growth and recent earnings beat underscore enterprise AI tailwinds compared to Apple's conservative approach.

At post $505.41Now $524.51+3.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-1.6%

3d-1.5%

1w-0.8%

1m+5.6%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish

u/find-the-9 · 39d ago2 prior · 100% at 3mo

“Scaled into MSFT $505 calls 0DTE during market open for 9.6k at an average cost of 0.17 for the contracts and sold at .25”

MSFT 0 DTE calls

Author executed a profitable 0 DTE call spread capturing immediate volatility on MSFT, buying $505 calls at 0.17 and selling at 0.25 for a $4.4k realized gain. The post highlights a successful volatility trade on a bullish directional bet, though reflects on leaving significant money on the table by not holding through expiration.

At post $505.41Now $524.51+3.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-1.6%

3d-1.5%

1w-0.8%

1m+5.6%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/Wonderful-Finish4822 · 47d ago9 prior · awaiting results

Where I think the market is mispricing quality: 10 valuation dislocations for the next 3–5 years

Microsoft is ranked #10 in a valuation dislocation study, suggesting the author believes the market is mispricing it relative to business quality and expects outperformance over 3–5 years.

At post $493.95Now $524.51+6.2% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d-0.3%

1w+2.3%

1m+7.2%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingIndustry/Sectorbullish

u/raytoei · 50d ago25 prior · 60% at 3mo

Microsoft changes its reporting to reflect better cloud/ai reporting - marketwatch

Microsoft's structural reporting change to highlight Azure and AI-focused segments will improve investor transparency into the company's cloud and AI momentum. The clearer disclosure of Azure's performance and growth trajectory should benefit valuation as the market better understands the criticality of this business to the company's AI-era strategy.

At post $510.12Now $524.51+2.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-2.0%

3d-2.0%

1w-3.5%

1m+1.5%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish

u/certainlynottheone · 54d ago5 prior · awaiting results

My completely regarded analysis of the AI trade. Read before you buy 0DTEs.

Big Tech owns the user base and will embed LLM features into existing products; 90% will be stripped as useless but the 10% that drives AI-powered ad targeting will print money for years.

At post $507.29Now $524.51+3.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-1.2%

3d+0.6%

1w-1.5%

1m+1.1%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish

u/onetwothreeekdd · 74d agono track record yet

Long 3,000 shares of MSFT

Put ~$1.17M into MSFT. 29 days later walked away +$340K. 🫡

Author was bullish on MSFT, purchasing 3,000 shares at ~$391 and holding for 29 days before closing for a $340k profit. The position reflects confidence in Microsoft's near-term upside.

At post $505.11Now $524.51+3.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-0.4%

3d-1.8%

1w-5.1%

1m-2.7%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/daxter_101 · 86d ago2 prior · 100% at 3mo

Microsoft saved the market

Microsoft demonstrated that heavy AI capex spending is compatible with strong cash flow generation, validating the sustainability of the AI investment thesis and supporting the broader bull case for AI-exposed tech companies.

At post $450.25Now $524.51+16.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+3.0%

3d+3.0%

1w+10.8%

1m+14.1%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish

u/yatv · 100d ago4 prior · 60% at 3mo

“$280k in MSFT calls”

Doubled down. $300,000 USD on $NFLX 🎲

Author maintains a $280k position in MSFT calls and skimmed some gains from this position to fund the NFLX double-down, indicating continued bullish conviction on Microsoft.

At post $400.35Now $524.51+31.0% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-1.8%

3d-1.8%

1w-4.9%

1m+23.5%

3m+33.1%

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish

u/Pure_Veterinarian374 · 102d agono track record yet

Long MSFT

$840k full port MSFT YOLO

MSFT is cheap relative to sentiment and prints money. The company's ubiquitous software ecosystem and cloud presence ensure sustained cash generation despite current negative sentiment.

At post $390.26Now $524.51+34.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-1.5%

3d+2.6%

1w+2.9%

1m+25.9%

3m+36.9%

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish

u/yatv · 105d ago4 prior · 60% at 3mo

Long MSFT calls · 130 contracts

$450,000 USD on MSFT + NFLX. Funded entirely by META profits 🥳

Author is bullish on MSFT despite weak recent sentiment, betting on upside through call spreads across September, October, and November expirations at strikes ranging from $400–$420. Position sizing of 130 calls total reflects conviction in recovery.

At post $384.38Now $524.51+36.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d+1.5%

1w+2.3%

1m+29.8%

3m+35.7%

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish

u/1111e5 · 105d agono track record yet

“$43k into MSFT LEAPs, breakeven $443 June 2028”

Full Port MSFT Bull Call Spread

Author deployed $43k into MSFT LEAP calls with June 2028 expiry, expecting significant upside to prior ATH of $550 over the next two years. Positioned for breakeven at $443 with profit exceeding $100k at previous highs.

At post $384.38Now $524.51+36.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d+1.5%

1w+2.3%

1m+29.8%

3m+35.7%

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish

u/reupped · 115d ago1 prior · 0% at 3mo

MSFT and AMZN both look cheap. Only one of them actually is.

MSFT at 23x earnings appears cheap but is burdened by $90B+ annual capex with most operating cash consumed by spending, leaving minimal free cash generation despite steady earnings. The valuation risks becoming unjustifiable if AI capex proves to be perpetual maintenance cost rather than value-accretive investment.

At post $383.56Now $524.51+36.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+1.6%

3d+1.6%

1w-0.2%

1m+20.9%

3m+32.7%

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/stockoscope · 117d ago12 prior · 70% at 3mo

Six months ago we called Microsoft overvalued at $490 and got roasted for it. It's now $373. Here's where it stands.

Microsoft is now fairly valued to undervalued at $373 if AI capex normalizes to maintenance levels (fair value $487), reversing the overvaluation call at $490. The risk/reward has shifted from poor to attractive, with significant upside if capex does not remain permanently elevated.

At post $367.88Now $524.51+42.6% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+1.2%

3d+5.9%

1w+4.9%

1m+6.0%

3m+40.3%

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsDDbullish

u/monoteapot · 118d agono track record yet

Long 700 shares of MSFT

Microslop is on sale

Microsoft's recent stock decline due to perceived low Copilot adoption is a buying opportunity. The company's unmatched enterprise moat across Excel, Outlook, Teams, and Azure, combined with strategic investments in AI infrastructure and cost-effective models like Maia 200, positions it to dominate the AI-driven enterprise automation wave while capturing expanding usage-based AI billing.

At post $367.88Now $524.51+42.6% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d+1.2%

1w+5.9%

1m+5.6%

3m+40.0%

6m—

1y—

original post →