Long XLI $167P exp Feb 13
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
The author expects a major downward payroll revision on February 11, 2026, showing near-zero job growth for 2025. This negative labor data is likely to cause market weakness across broad indices and industrials. The author has put options positioned on XLI as a secondary play.
At post $173.42·Now $169.61-2.2% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:12 PM ET
1d+0.5%
3d+0.1%
1w+0.7%
1m-5.0%
3m+0.9%
6m—
1y—
Long USB $57P exp Feb 13
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
The author expects a major downward payroll revision on February 11, 2026, showing near-zero job growth for 2025. This negative labor data is likely to cause market weakness across broad indices and financial equities. The author has put options positioned on USB as a secondary play.
At post $59.93·Now $56.83-5.2% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:12 PM ET
1d-2.6%
3d-4.7%
1w-3.9%
1m-15.0%
3m-9.1%
6m—
1y—
Long PNC $227.5P exp Feb 13
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
The author expects a major downward payroll revision on February 11, 2026, showing near-zero job growth for 2025. This negative labor data is likely to cause market weakness across broad indices and financial equities. The author has put options positioned on PNC as a secondary play.
At post $238.50·Now $232.63-2.5% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:12 PM ET
1d-2.0%
3d-4.6%
1w-3.8%
1m-15.7%
3m-10.0%
6m—
1y—
Long SBUX $94P exp Feb 13
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
The author expects a major downward payroll revision on February 11, 2026, showing near-zero job growth for 2025. This negative labor data is likely to cause market weakness across broad indices and consumer-facing equities. The author has put options positioned on SBUX as a secondary play.
At post $96.34·Now $98.76+2.5% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:12 PM ET
1d+1.6%
3d-3.2%
1w-1.6%
1m+3.4%
3m+9.1%
6m—
1y—
Long TGT $108P exp Feb 13
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
The author expects a major downward payroll revision on February 11, 2026, showing near-zero job growth for 2025. This negative labor data is likely to cause market weakness across broad indices and consumer-facing equities. The author has put options positioned on TGT as a secondary play.
At post $111.04·Now $127.96+15.2% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:12 PM ET
1d+2.2%
3d+3.3%
1w+4.0%
1m+3.3%
3m+5.7%
6m—
1y—
Long IWM $256P exp Feb 13
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.
At post $265.69·Now $281.98+6.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:12 PM ET
1d-0.5%
3d-1.2%
1w-1.2%
1m-7.0%
3m+7.4%
6m—
1y—
Long IWM $259P exp Feb 13
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.
At post $265.69·Now $281.98+6.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:12 PM ET
1d-0.5%
3d-1.2%
1w-1.2%
1m-7.0%
3m+7.4%
6m—
1y—
Long IWM $262P exp Feb 11
Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.
The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.
At post $265.69·Now $281.98+6.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:12 PM ET
1d-0.5%
3d-1.2%
1w-1.2%
1m-7.0%
3m+7.4%
6m—
1y—