Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author holds IWM call options as a bullish position, though trimming 1/3 of the position after selling at 1.30 per contract.
The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.
The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.
The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.
End of results.