$IWM

3 theses
bullish 0%neutral 0%bearish 100%
Avg return (3m)
+7.4%
Win rate (3m)
0% (3 resolved)

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

Prices as of Jun 10, 4:04 PM ET
$IWMDDbearish
u/AlfrescoDog · 120d ago7 prior · 25% at 3mo
Long IWM $256P exp Feb 13

Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.

The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.

At post $265.69Now $281.98+6.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:04 PM ET
1d-0.5%
3d-1.2%
1w-1.2%
1m-7.0%
3m+7.4%
6m
1y
original post →
$IWMDDbearish
u/AlfrescoDog · 120d ago7 prior · 25% at 3mo
Long IWM $259P exp Feb 13

Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.

The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.

At post $265.69Now $281.98+6.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:04 PM ET
1d-0.5%
3d-1.2%
1w-1.2%
1m-7.0%
3m+7.4%
6m
1y
original post →
$IWMDDbearish
u/AlfrescoDog · 120d ago7 prior · 25% at 3mo
Long IWM $262P exp Feb 11

Two Federal Reserve Members Say the Jobs Numbers Are Wrong. Revision Is Tomorrow.

The author argues that two Federal Reserve members (Powell and Waller) have publicly stated that monthly payroll job numbers are systematically overstated by ~60,000 jobs. The final benchmark revision, releasing February 11, 2026, will likely show near-zero job growth for 2025, causing significant market downside. The author expects IWM to decline on this negative labor data.

At post $265.69Now $281.98+6.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:04 PM ET
1d-0.5%
3d-1.2%
1w-1.2%
1m-7.0%
3m+7.4%
6m
1y
original post →

End of results.