| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3d | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1w | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1y | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
RDDT is growing DAU +28% and logged-in growth +12% with exceptional international expansion potential via auto-translate; monetization is improving and human interaction becomes increasingly valuable.
UBER trades at ~20x forward PE and 15x 2027E earnings; the thesis relies on consumer inertia for established ride-sharing apps and the logistical importance of availability in the autonomous vehicle era.
SPGI has one of the strongest competitive moats and is temporarily depressed by yield concerns; forward PE compression from 33 to 20 creates an entry point despite initial AI disruption fears.
TJX is a quality retailer with forward PE compressed from ~30 to 24, now trading at a significant discount; the author is buying opportunistically targeting lower prices.
SM Energy is undervalued at 3.3x normalized EV/EBITDA (using $75 oil) versus peers, with a debt ratio of 2 that management is rapidly deleveraging as oil prices strengthen.
MSFT is trading at a 19x forward PE with 20-30% growth expectations and faces limited disruption risk to Office; the company maintains a fortress balance sheet with significant cash flow and no recent equity or debt issuance.
End of results.