u/KleinerFuchs14

2 theses · first seen May 31, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d111100%-6.9%-6.9%
3d222100%-11.2%-11.2%
1w111100%-19.6%-19.6%
1m000
3m000
6m000
1y000

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$MSTRDDbearish
u/KleinerFuchs14 · 6d ago1 prior · awaiting results
PUTs on MSTR; author already 25% in the green with existing puts

Let's Bear Raid MSTR

Microstrategy is overleveraged with ~830k BTC purchased at an average of $75k and currently trading at $63k, financed by debt. The company is essentially a leveraged Bitcoin play that will be devastated if Bitcoin declines further, making puts an attractive bet as the AI bubble deflates.

At post $129.37Now $115.35-10.8% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:11 PM ET
1d-6.9%
3d-6.9%
1w
1m
3m
6m
1y
original post →
$MSTRDDbearish
u/KleinerFuchs14 · 10d ago1 prior · awaiting results
Long MSTR $130P exp Jun 17

The safest play for gay bears (like me) is puts on MSTR

MSTR is a burning house of cards. The company has burned through two-thirds of cash paying dividends and violated its promise to never sell bitcoin. When the company needs liquidity, forced bitcoin sales will crater the stock.

At post $149.78Now $115.35-23.0% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:11 PM ET
1d
3d-15.5%
1w-19.6%
1m
3m
6m
1y
original post →

End of results.