Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Jobs report caused Bitcoin to tumble but MSTR held better than expected, with expanding mNAV suggesting relative strength. Author expects a positive week ahead and bought calls.
Author is going all-in with maximum margin on MSTR, betting on upside directional move.
Bitcoin is showing technical and liquidity weakness with flags and poor GLI indicators, signaling a major leg down. Since Microstrategy's value is tightly coupled to Bitcoin price, the author expects MSTR to fall to ~$40 within 8-12 weeks based on Bitcoin's expected decline and sensitivity analysis of the balance sheet.
Author is making a large bullish bet on MSTR, implying the stock will appreciate significantly over a 2-year horizon. The confidence in this call is strong enough to warrant a $50k position.
Bitcoin continues to absorb capital and MSTR is a leveraged bet on that trend. Current market panic is overblown, making this a good entry point to accumulate shares.
Bought 300 shares of MSTR and sold December at-the-money covered calls against the position. The position structure implies bullish sentiment with downside protection through premium collection.
Author is bullish on MSTR expecting cryptocurrency to recover and Saylor's leadership to drive gains. The position appears to be all-in conviction based on crypto upside.
Microstrategy is overleveraged with ~830k BTC purchased at an average of $75k and currently trading at $63k, financed by debt. The company is essentially a leveraged Bitcoin play that will be devastated if Bitcoin declines further, making puts an attractive bet as the AI bubble deflates.
MicroStrategy is a leveraged Ponzi scheme holding 3% of Bitcoin, now underwater on its holdings. As it begins selling Bitcoin to service debt and pay dividends, the cascade effect will trigger panic selling, destroying both MSTR and dragging Bitcoin toward zero over a multi-year period.
MSTR is a burning house of cards. The company has burned through two-thirds of cash paying dividends and violated its promise to never sell bitcoin. When the company needs liquidity, forced bitcoin sales will crater the stock.
Author holds 60 MSTR 200 call contracts purchased at $1.79 each, betting on upside move through earnings. Position suggests conviction in stock appreciation.
Author is bullish on MSTR and has made a significant long equity position by rolling their 401k into the stock, continuing to accumulate daily despite the concentration risk.
End of results.