| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | -1.0% | -0.5% |
| 3d | 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | -1.3% | -0.5% |
| 1w | 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | -5.9% | -6.1% |
| 1m | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | -8.9% | -6.1% |
| 3m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +10.2% | +10.2% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Stock is cheap relative to growth prospects despite headwinds like stock-based compensation and competition. Author is all-in on both stock and calls, viewing the risk/reward as attractive.
Author is making a bullish bet on BROS via $60k in LEAPS calls, attempting to recover from losses on weeklies. The directional play is on upside movement, though the framing is primarily revenge trading rather than fundamental analysis.
Long position in Adobe at an average cost of $227.69 per share, currently up 18% with $9,586 in gains on a $53,279 investment.
Adobe is undervalued and will appreciate around earnings. Author is betting on the stock moving up and calls going in the money.
End of results.