u/banaca4

2 theses · first seen Oct 20, 2026
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Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$NVDAr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish
u/banaca4 · 21d ago1 prior · awaiting results
Long NVDA

I sold NVDA too early (a confession)

The author holds NVDA and reflects on selling too early in 2022 during a drawdown despite the underlying technological thesis remaining intact. He argues that holding strategic positions through price volatility, when the original thesis hasn't weakened, is more profitable than selling winners based on emotional confidence shocks rather than fundamental changes.

At post $228.38Now $209.31-8.3% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
original post →
$CWENr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish
u/banaca4 · 38d ago1 prior · awaiting results

CoreWeave at ~$90: does the debt destroy the equity, or is the market underpricing compute scarcity?

CoreWeave is a leveraged bet on compute scarcity with attractive expected value (~$325/share terminal value, 29% annualized return) if it can sustain 15-20% operating margins and lenders continue financing GPU assets based on residual value. The key unknowns are whether customer diversification continues, margins expand, and GPU-backed financing spreads narrow.

original post →

End of results.