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u/daddysgirl794

3 theses · first seen Sep 4, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d33133%+0.7%+0.1%
3d33133%-0.5%-1.7%
1w33267%-3.3%-2.7%
1m22150%+7.3%+7.3%
3m000———
6m000———
1y000———

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$SNDKr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbearish
u/daddysgirl794 · 22d ago2 prior · awaiting results

Is rapidly increasing volatility among memory stocks not a sign of a potential bubble popping?

Rapidly increasing volatility in memory stocks, exemplified by SNDK's repeated +/- 10% single-day swings since May, mirrors historical patterns preceding bubble bursts and cyclical market tops. This volatility spike suggests a significant downside move may be imminent.

At post $1,568.87Now $1,764.17+12.4% since postedas of Sep 9, 4:31 PM ET
1d+2.0%
3d+1.7%
1w-4.4%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
original post →
$MUr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish
u/daddysgirl794 · 37d ago2 prior · awaiting results

Forward P/E is a bad metric to use when valuing cyclical stocks.

The author acknowledges cyclical risk in Micron's valuation but concludes the market is irrational enough to drive the stock significantly higher regardless of fundamental concerns. Despite warning that forward P/E multiples are misleading for cyclicals at peak demand-supply imbalance, the author bets on upside because "this market is irrational."

At post $892.67Now $1,027.77+15.1% since postedas of Sep 9, 4:30 PM ET
1d+0.1%
3d-1.7%
1w-2.7%
1m+7.3%
3m—
6m—
1y—
original post →
$MUr/ValueInvestingIndustry/Sectorbearish
u/daddysgirl794 · 37d ago2 prior · awaiting results

Forward P/E is a bad metric to use when valuing cyclical stocks.

Micron's low forward P/E of 4 is a valuation trap, not a bargain. If memory semiconductors remain cyclical and we are at peak demand-supply imbalance, forward earnings projections will contract sharply as the cycle turns, similar to 2000 when the stock crashed 90% despite forward multiples eventually rising.

At post $892.67Now $1,027.77+15.1% since postedas of Sep 9, 4:30 PM ET
1d+0.1%
3d-1.7%
1w-2.7%
1m+7.3%
3m—
6m—
1y—
original post →

End of results.