u/daxter_101

3 theses · first seen Oct 20, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d111100%+3.0%+3.0%
3d33267%+3.6%+3.0%
1w33267%+3.2%-0.1%
1m333100%+12.6%+14.1%
3m333100%+25.6%+17.9%
6m111100%+27.4%+27.4%
1y000———

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish
u/daxter_101 · 92d ago2 prior · 100% at 3mo

Microsoft saved the market

Microsoft demonstrated that heavy AI capex spending is compatible with strong cash flow generation, validating the sustainability of the AI investment thesis and supporting the broader bull case for AI-exposed tech companies.

At post $450.25Now $530.14+17.7% since postedas of Oct 29, 4:45 PM ET
1d+3.0%
3d+3.0%
1w+10.8%
1m+14.1%
3m+17.9%
6m—
1y—
original post →
$AVGOr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish
u/daxter_101 · 147d ago2 prior · 100% at 3mo

Broadcom crashed the market

Broadcom's flat guidance signals the chip market's bullish momentum is unsustainable. The earnings result triggered broad-based selling in semiconductor equities and has given the AI sector a reality check.

At post $385.73Now $345.00-10.6% since postedas of Oct 29, 4:45 PM ET
1d—
3d+2.8%
1w-0.9%
1m-6.6%
3m-7.6%
6m—
1y—
original post →
$TSEMr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish
u/daxter_101 · 222d ago2 prior · 100% at 3mo

TSEM — The TSMC of AI Photonics. 5-10x potential

TSEM is the only supplier of SiPho production PDK technology, with a tight tradable float (~35M shares) relative to its $18B market cap. Upcoming Q1 earnings in May showing 70% YoY SiPho growth, NVIDIA partnership, and $920M capex to scale capacity should drive a significant re-rate when demand hits a constrained supply base.

At post $172.13Now $189.08+9.8% since postedas of Oct 27, 4:30 PM ET
1d—
3d+5.0%
1w-0.1%
1m+30.4%
3m+66.6%
6m+27.4%
1y—
original post →

End of results.