u/daxter_101

3 theses · first seen Sep 4, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d111100%+3.0%+3.0%
3d111100%+3.0%+3.0%
1w111100%+10.8%+10.8%
1m111100%+13.8%+13.8%
3m000
6m000
1y000

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish
u/daxter_101 · 47d ago2 prior · awaiting results

Microsoft saved the market

Microsoft demonstrated that aggressive AI capex spending is compatible with strong profitability and positive cash flow, validating the AI investment thesis and differentiating it from peers struggling with the economics of AI spending.

At post $451.10Now $505.41+12.0% since postedas of Sep 14, 4:30 PM ET
1d+3.0%
3d+3.0%
1w+10.8%
1m+13.8%
3m
6m
1y
original post →
$AVGOr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish
u/daxter_101 · 102d ago2 prior · awaiting results

Broadcom crashed the market

Broadcom's flat guidance and earnings miss signal the chip market's upside momentum is slowing. The company's performance triggered a market-wide selloff, particularly in semiconductor stocks, indicating the AI rally has peaked and faces a correction.

At post $385.73Now $344.72-10.6% since postedas of Sep 14, 4:30 PM ET
original post →
$TSEMr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish
u/daxter_101 · 177d ago2 prior · awaiting results

TSEM — The TSMC of AI Photonics. 5-10x potential

TSEM is the only producer of silicon photonics PDK and has structural supply constraints with a tight tradable float of ~35M shares. A 5-10x re-rate is expected driven by 70% YoY SiPho growth, NVIDIA partnership, and major capex expansion with minimal analyst coverage.

Now $191.12as of Sep 14, 4:31 PM ET
original post →

End of results.