| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | -1.8% | -1.8% |
| 3d | 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
| 1w | 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | -6.6% | -3.8% |
| 1m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.8% | +4.8% |
| 3m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.4% | +7.4% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Google's 12% search growth is consistent with historical quarterly trends and not a slowdown; valuation at 27x forward EPS is cheap for 25%+ quarterly earnings growth. AI monetization in search is ramping, Cloud is growing 100%, and capital-intensive reinvestment justifies the multiple.
Netflix's competitive moat has narrowed as rivals like Apple TV and HBO Max expand content offerings. Despite a drawdown, valuation at 18x forward earnings for ~10-11% revenue growth is fair at best; the lack of subscriber visibility and slowing view-hour growth limit upside, while aggressive buybacks over reinvestment signal poor capital allocation in a competitive environment.
Stellantis is undervalued at €3.9-€4/share. Despite near-term challenges in quality, demand, and dealer sentiment, the company shows a positive recovery trajectory with improving margins, successful North American performance (especially Ram HEMI), and management executing well. DCF analysis suggests fair value of €6.10 based on conservative consensus margins.
Thomson Reuters' 150-year-old Westlaw database represents a durable competitive moat that positions the company to integrate proprietary legal data with AI tools more effectively than generic competitors. Trading at 27x trailing earnings, the stock is undervalued relative to its historical 35x average PE and the company's ability to deliver verified, sourced legal answers that enterprises require.
End of results.