$USO

11 theses

bullish 64%neutral 0%bearish 36%

Avg return (3m)

-0.5%

Win rate (3m)

0% (1 resolved)

1d 3d 1w 1m 3m 6m 1y

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

Prices as of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

$USOYOLObearish

u/OneTwoThreePooAndPee · 13d agono track record yet

USO NACHO YOLO

USO has been dropping on false promises of a Middle East peace deal that will open the Strait of Hormuz toll-free. Trump is posturing about an agreement he needs to approve, but the Camp David signing fell through when Iran backed out. The strait will remain constrained by tolls regardless, meaning current optimism is unwarranted.

At post $130.78Now $134.31+2.7% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d-1.3%

3d-1.3%

1w+4.6%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USOYOLObullish

u/Bardy_Bard · 22d agono track record yet

You Only Love Oil

Falling global oil inventories, refinery capacity constraints, and strong Asian demand will trigger a supply shock. Once inventory buffers deplete, prices will surge as there are limited alternatives to increased production.

At post $144.27Now $134.31-6.9% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d-1.2%

3d-2.3%

1w-9.2%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USODiscussionbullish

u/CalicoJack_81 · 22d agono track record yet

Long USO calls · 19000 contracts

In 19k of USO calls because 150 dollar oil is fking stupid

Oil prices spiked to $150 due to geopolitical tensions but historically all oil spikes retrace when conflicts resolve. Author expects war to end under Trump administration, driving oil prices lower and call options on USO sharply higher.

At post $152.96Now $134.31-12.2% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d-5.7%

3d-7.9%

1w-7.9%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USODiscussionbearish

u/samvarr · 22d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Long USO $80P exp Dec 15

In 20k of USO puts because 150 dollar oil is fking stupid

Oil at $150 is unsustainably elevated and will retrace when geopolitical tensions ease. Historical oil spikes have always retraced, and current prices are driven by temporary POTUS policy, making long-dated puts a favorable risk/reward trade.

At post $152.96Now $134.31-12.2% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d-5.7%

3d-7.9%

1w-7.9%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USOGainbullish

u/trsx5 · 24d ago2 prior · awaiting results

“Biggest plays: $LLY / $AMZN / $USO”

After 4 years.. i did it. +107K (realized) YTD.

One of the three biggest winning plays YTD contributing to the +107K realized gain, timed around the Iran war geopolitical event.

At post $149.29Now $134.31-10.0% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d—

3d-3.4%

1w-5.6%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USOYOLObullish

u/BFLO-Retail · 30d ago4 prior · awaiting results

“1,000 barrels for $96.73 cost basis, financially settled against physical barrels for June Delivery”

MCL / USO Oil Yolo

Oil has tanked to below $100/barrel due to market crisis, but the author believes a recovery is likely and bought 1,000 barrels at $96.73 cost basis for June delivery. A single positive catalyst could trigger a 5-10k profit overnight.

At post $138.66Now $134.31-3.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d+4.1%

3d+3.1%

1w+7.7%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USOYOLObullish

u/Jebusfreek666 · 33d agono track record yet

Betting big on re-escalation and realization of the ignored oil shock

Author expects escalation in Middle East tensions and a delayed market realization of oil supply shocks. Current market highs ignore fundamental oil disruption risks that will surface by summer, triggering a major sell-off that benefits oil positions.

At post $133.59Now $134.31+0.5% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d—

3d+3.8%

1w+11.0%

1m-0.4%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USOLossbearish

u/StylizedPortfolio · 34d ago3 prior · awaiting results

“short $USO via put options once $USO hits $150”

Jr. Burry SOXL short

Oil prices are being ignored by the market and will see deterioration. Author plans to short USO via put options if prices hit $150, betting on a pullback in energy prices.

At post $133.59Now $134.31+0.5% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d—

3d+3.8%

1w+11.0%

1m-0.4%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USODiscussionbullish

u/Haboubiii · 63d ago1 prior · awaiting results

“calls (on OIL)”

Straight of Hormuz still closed

Strait of Hormuz closure and failed Israeli-Palestinian ceasefire will disrupt oil supply. Despite today's drop, the supply shock has not yet reached US markets; oil will surge within a week as tanker delays resolve and global demand responds to scarcity.

At post $124.58Now $134.31+7.8% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d+1.9%

3d+0.2%

1w-1.6%

1m+7.2%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USOGainbearish

u/Brolic_Broccoli · 64d agono track record yet

“opened the shorts the moment the ceasefire was announced”

Gentlemen, I shorted Oil

Opened short position on oil following ceasefire announcement, expecting price decline as geopolitical risk premium dissipates.

At post $138.08Now $134.31-2.7% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d-9.8%

3d-9.6%

1w-10.3%

1m-2.3%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$USODiscussionbullish

u/yellowLantern · 363d agono track record yet

[Axios] Israel strikes Iran: Explosions in Tehran, sirens in Israel

Crude oil is spiking in response to geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran strikes). The author expects oil prices to remain elevated going forward, which could push CPI higher in the next report.

At post $75.05Now $134.31+79.0% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:06 PM ET

1d+6.9%

3d+6.9%

1w+9.6%

1m+3.0%

3m-0.5%

6m-6.9%

1y—

original post →

End of results.