u/Aya_Research

2 theses · first seen Sep 4, 2026

Window	Theses	Resolved	Wins	Win rate	Avg return	Median return
1d	1	1	1	100%	+3.3%	+3.3%
3d	1	1	1	100%	+3.3%	+3.3%
1w	1	1	1	100%	+9.4%	+9.4%
1m	1	1	1	100%	+7.2%	+7.2%
3m	0	0	0	—	—	—
6m	0	0	0	—	—	—
1y	0	0	0	—	—	—

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$METAr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/Aya_Research · 42d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Meta printed the worst quarter of the four hyperscalers this week. It might also be the only one holding a free option.

Meta printed the worst quarter among hyperscalers but holds a free embedded option to shift from a capital-intensive AI operator to a higher-margin infrastructure landlord by renting excess compute capacity. At mid-teens forward multiples, investors pay operator prices while gaining exposure to a potential category shift that could flatten capex and unlock value.

At post $539.03Now $644.38+19.5% since postedas of Sep 10, 4:30 PM ET

1d+3.3%

3d+3.3%

1w+9.4%

1m+7.2%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$AAPLr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/Aya_Research · 44d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Can Apple really be worth 40x P/E? The five-year-old version @Teembeau

Apple's 2.5 billion screens create a moat in the AI era: every major AI lives behind Apple's devices, and services ($31B/quarter, growing 16%) is the toll at that gate. Strong unit gains in a collapsing smartphone market, record iPhone share, and Mac growing 29% faster than street expected show Apple's device advantage is compounding into its strongest season.

At post $337.90Now $326.57-3.4% since postedas of Sep 10, 4:30 PM ET

original post →

End of results.