u/YouHaveShitBreath

4 theses · first seen Oct 20, 2026

Window	Theses	Resolved	Wins	Win rate	Avg return	Median return
1d	0	0	0	—	—	—
3d	2	2	1	50%	+0.4%	+0.4%
1w	2	2	1	50%	+5.5%	+5.5%
1m	2	2	1	50%	-5.5%	-5.5%
3m	2	2	1	50%	+7.6%	+7.6%
6m	2	2	1	50%	+6.3%	+6.3%
1y	2	2	1	50%	+18.4%	+18.4%

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$METAr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/YouHaveShitBreath · 83d ago3 prior · 50% at 3mo

“Holds Amazon and Meta, with intention to reallocate MSFT trimmings to META due to expected PE compression after next earnings”

At what point are you trimming or selling all of your $MSFT?

Meta is positioned to experience significant PE compression after next earnings as the tax bill quarter drops off the trailing twelve-month calculation, reverting to a full four-quarter earnings base. This will improve the PE ratio and may offer attractive entry points or reinvestment opportunities.

At post $598.65Now $612.13+2.3% since postedas of Nov 2, 2:00 PM ET

1d-3.4%

3d-1.5%

1w-9.3%

1m+7.6%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSFTr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish

u/YouHaveShitBreath · 83d ago3 prior · 50% at 3mo

“Loaded up on Microsoft below $400; considering trimming or selling at current levels”

At what point are you trimming or selling all of your $MSFT?

Microsoft appears fairly valued relative to Google at current levels, with MSFT trading at a reasonable gap versus GOOG based on earnings and balance sheets. The author suggests trimming or reallocating MSFT holdings to other opportunities rather than holding indefinitely.

At post $502.86Now $517.65+2.9% since postedas of Nov 2, 2:00 PM ET

1d-2.3%

3d-1.7%

1w-4.4%

1m-2.3%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$NVOr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/YouHaveShitBreath · 472d ago3 prior · 50% at 3mo

UNH - Do not fall for it.

NVO faces a similar artificial suppression and wash-sale dynamic as UNH. The author expects a rebound as the wash period lapses and institutions re-enter.

At post $60.57Now $40.68-32.9% since postedas of Nov 2, 2:00 PM ET

1d—

3d+0.9%

1w+11.5%

1m-18.5%

3m-11.8%

6m-7.4%

1y-18.0%

original post →

$UNHr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/YouHaveShitBreath · 472d ago3 prior · 50% at 3mo

UNH - Do not fall for it.

UNH has been artificially pinned to $300 post-crash as institutions exit wash-sale periods ahead of earnings on the 29th. The author expects a significant rally as institutions re-enter before earnings.

At post $273.59Now $398.21+45.5% since postedas of Nov 2, 10:45 AM ET

1d—

3d-0.2%

1w-0.6%

1m+7.6%

3m+27.0%

6m+20.1%

1y+54.8%

original post →

End of results.