“Position screenshot showing put options (exact strike/expiry not clearly legible from description)”
Upcoming Epic Crash for 🌈🧸 Pride Month
Oil shortage will trigger short-term inflation surge, pushing long-duration treasury yields above 5-6%, leading to demand destruction and recession. Technical divergence on MACD/RSI confirms bearish setup with base case target of SPY 600.
At post $754.24·Now $725.49-3.8% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d+0.4%
3d-2.2%
1w—
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
u/1jb · 8d ago2 prior · awaiting results Long SPY puts
Ripped a $130k SPY puts YOLO for this week
Author believes the market is due for a collapse because current valuations are unsustainably inflated and cannot continue being artificially propped up.
At post $759.57·Now $725.49-4.5% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d-0.7%
3d-2.9%
1w-3.0%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
“Almost full port into SPY puts”
This clown show has gotta stop at some point. Almost full port into SPY puts LFG
Author is going heavily into SPY put options, betting on a significant market downturn. The post expresses frustration with market conditions and expects the bull run to end soon.
At post $754.60·Now $725.49-3.9% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d+0.2%
3d+0.2%
1w+0.3%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
When Will It Pop
The market has experienced unsustainable gains since 2023, with SPY up nearly 100% driven by inflated tech valuations and speculative bubble conditions. The author argues that valuations are disconnected from fundamentals and predicts a eventual correction or crash.
At post $742.31·Now $725.49-2.3% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d+0.8%
3d-0.4%
1w-0.1%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
“Bought on the dips yesterday and today. Just closed during my flight with WiFi.”
3K to 16.5K SPY gains. Bought on the dips yesterday and today. Just closed during my flight with WiFi.
Author bought SPY on recent dips and closed positions for significant gains (3K to 16.5K), indicating confidence in near-term upside after market weakness.
At post $742.31·Now $725.49-2.3% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d+0.8%
3d-0.4%
1w-0.1%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
The real reason the market is pumping
The US equity market is outperforming globally because international economies face energy crises and supply chain disruptions from Hormuz closure, while the US has technological leads in AI and defense. Capital flows to US equities as the least-bad investment destination.
At post $739.30·Now $725.49-1.9% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d-0.2%
3d+1.2%
1w-0.1%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
BLS Report Is a Complete Disaster, -100K Jobs YoY Without four retirement-centric sectors & local government
The jobs report masks severe underlying economic weakness. Excluding gains from retirement-focused sectors and local government, the US has lost nearly 100k jobs YoY, indicating the economy is in serious trouble despite headline numbers.
At post $737.62·Now $725.49-1.6% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d—
3d+0.2%
1w+0.2%
1m-0.0%
3m—
6m—
1y—
Long SPY calls
How I played AMD earnings
Author bought 1DTE SPY calls expecting upside from AMD earnings and government peace talks announcement, resulting in gains.
At post $733.83·Now $725.49-1.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d-0.3%
3d+0.5%
1w+1.2%
1m+0.5%
3m—
6m—
1y—
“4/1 for $12 each”
Spy call +700%
The author was bullish on SPY short-term, evidenced by their purchase of April 1 expiration calls at $12 each, which gained approximately 700% in value.
At post $733.83·Now $725.49-1.1% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d-0.3%
3d+0.5%
1w+1.2%
1m+0.5%
3m—
6m—
1y—
Long SPY puts
1.6k to 20.5k in 3 months
Author has been profitably scalping 0dte SPY put options by using MACD momentum as a signal, buying ATM puts during the rally and taking profits on sharp downmoves. The strategy leverages fear-driven volatility to generate 10% daily average returns.
At post $718.01·Now $725.49+1.0% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d+0.8%
3d+1.9%
1w+3.0%
1m+5.0%
3m—
6m—
1y—
Long SPY $540P exp Apr 17
They are blockading 20% of the worlds oil supply.... my thesis from 18 days is coming true
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz will drive oil prices sharply higher, triggering stagflation (high energy + weak economy). The market hasn't priced in this geopolitical shock, leading to a sharp SPY decline as sentiment shifts from complacency to fear.
At post $686.10·Now $725.49+5.7% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d—
3d+2.0%
1w+3.5%
1m+7.6%
3m—
6m—
1y—
The Big Short and social media is the reason the market has not experienced any significant downturn since 2008
Social media and rapid information dissemination prevent sustained market panic, causing dips to reverse quickly. Every major selloff since 2008 has recovered due to panic-induced shorts becoming liquidity for rallies, making large-scale stock market recessions practically impossible.
At post $679.46·Now $725.49+6.8% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d—
3d+1.0%
1w+4.5%
1m+8.6%
3m—
6m—
1y—
Long SPY $540P exp Apr 17
Every CEO is about to say "unexpected headwinds" 47 times this earnings season 💀
Supply chain disruptions will force earnings misses and guidance cuts this quarter, particularly among industrials and semis with thin margins and international procurement. The market has not priced in this shock, creating an extinction-level decline for the broad market.
At post $656.82·Now $725.49+10.4% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d-1.8%
3d-3.5%
1w-0.2%
1m+8.7%
3m—
6m—
1y—
“LEAPS it is, tomorrow”
WSJ Exclusive: Trump Administration Plans to Announce Coalition to Escort Ships Through Strait of Hormuz
The author believes a market bottom has been reached at September 2025 levels and expects a rally back to SPY 7000 by end of year, citing a geopolitical development (Trump administration's Strait of Hormuz coalition announcement) as a potential catalyst.
At post $667.21·Now $725.49+8.7% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d—
3d-1.1%
1w-2.8%
1m+4.1%
3m—
6m—
1y—
Hope you degens are ready to buy
The S&P 500 is currently correcting but earnings fundamentals remain strong with 80%+ beat rate. Once geopolitical tensions (Strait of Hormuz) ease or oil supply resumes, commodity prices will fall and fuel a sustained bull market lasting at least another year. Historical precedent suggests high VIX levels (>30) mark excellent buying opportunities.
At post $676.42·Now $725.49+7.3% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d—
3d-0.3%
1w-2.4%
1m-2.5%
3m+9.0%
6m—
1y—
“3.2x leverage on $7.3M assets ($5M borrowed in box spread options); diversified portfolio including stocks, bonds, mutual funds”
I borrowed $5.7M to invest. Should I borrow more?
Author advocates a leveraged long-term investment strategy using diversified portfolios with smart-beta funds and box spread options, demonstrating +27% compound annual returns over 6 years with 3.2x leverage. He argues that maximum leverage (4x) on a diversified multi-asset portfolio produces superior returns versus unlevered index funds and recommends borrowing 2-4x account value to deploy in this strategy.
At post $676.42·Now $725.49+7.3% since postedas of Jun 10, 4:05 PM ET
1d+0.2%
3d+0.6%
1w+0.5%
1m+0.5%
3m+1.1%
6m+11.8%
1y—