$AMZN

26 theses

bullish 69%neutral 8%bearish 23%

Avg return (3m)

+7.0%

Win rate (3m)

40% (15 resolved)

1d 3d 1w 1m 3m 6m 1y

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

Prices as of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

$AMZNr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/Invest-With-J · 34h ago3 prior · awaiting results

I Rather Invest in the Hyperscaler Cloud Names Than the Neocloud Names (and it's not even close)

Amazon's hyperscaler scale, proven cash generation, and diversified revenue streams make it a safer bet than neoclouds on AI capex. Even with near-term FCF headwinds from AI investment, Amazon's optionality and profitability buffer it from the existential risks (debt burden, negative FCF) facing neocloud competitors.

At post $250.38Now $248.00-0.9% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish

u/AgenticSovereign · 3d ago5 prior · awaiting results

Amazon’s Dark GPUs Expose AI’s Hidden Infrastructure Cost

Amazon is accumulating billions in idle Nvidia GPUs it cannot yet power, straining cash flow and capital efficiency. This inventory buildup represents a significant capital allocation risk that challenges the company's ability to achieve its targeted 20.2% incremental return on invested capital amid power infrastructure constraints.

At post $262.37Now $248.00-5.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d-4.6%

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/coffeeestocks · 5d ago1 prior · 0% at 3mo

Amazon ($AMZN) - You don't own enough amazon

Amazon's margins are expanding through advertising and AWS growth, with differentiated cloud products offering high switching costs. The company's custom CPU offerings (Trainium) and overall cloud build-out are underappreciated catalysts driving long-term profitability.

At post $262.45Now $248.00-5.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+0.1%

3d-4.6%

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingDiscussionneutral

u/asymmetricval · 7d ago2 prior · 100% at 3mo

Long AMZN

Anthropic debt-to-equity restructuring seems inevitable

Anthropic's anticipated insolvency and restructuring would result in Amazon as a minority shareholder in the reconstituted company. The outcome depends on regulatory approval and competitive dynamics with Google and Microsoft as co-owners.

At post $262.45Now $248.00-5.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish

u/bobo-the-merciful · 12d ago5 prior · awaiting results

Using Warren Buffet's Owners Earnings on Tech Stocks: Warning not for "growth" investors

Amazon's forward owner earnings yield of 4.1% base case and −1.0% strict case is far below the author's >10% threshold, suggesting overvaluation despite AI infrastructure exposure.

At post $259.53Now $248.00-4.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisneutral

u/sneezydig · 26d ago1 prior · awaiting results

AMZN Stock Forecast 2030: The $1.6 Trillion Test

Amazon faces a critical test of whether it can deliver value despite negative free cash flow through 2028 and a massive $1.6 trillion capex bet on AI and cloud expansion. The thesis hinges on AWS achieving ~34% annual growth, margins recovering after 2028, and advertising reaching 44% operating margins to fund the capex cycle and eventually generate $89 billion of free cash flow by 2030.

At post $246.15Now $248.00+0.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/wallstreetbetsDDbullish

u/Das_oul · 26d agono track record yet

Long AMZN

AMZN earnings

Amazon is undervalued at $250 with accelerating AWS growth, expanding ad and logistics businesses, and efficiency gains from robotics and AI. Despite near-term capex concerns, the company is well-positioned as a hyperscaler for a rerating as market sentiment shifts.

At post $246.15Now $248.00+0.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/wallstreetbetsLossbullish

u/spideys_memes · 29d agono track record yet

“LEAPS”

October 6-7 prime day

Fall Prime Day (October 6-7) will drive increased shopping and deal activity, boosting Amazon's stock. The author holds long-dated call options (LEAPS) positioned to benefit from this catalyst.

At post $249.38Now $248.00-0.6% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/Finding-Rumi · 31d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Two ways to buy Anthropic before the IPO (while paying 50% less)

Amazon owns ~21% of Anthropic through preferred equity conversions at a strike price well below the rumored Anthropic IPO valuation. Buying Amazon stock offers indirect exposure to Anthropic at a 2-20x discount relative to the IPO price, plus diversification across Amazon's other businesses and AI capital allocation.

At post $254.98Now $248.00-2.7% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/Solidplum101 · 36d ago5 prior · 60% at 3mo

Amazon - king of value

Amazon has improved all foundational business segments while trading at a historically depressed PE of ~20, despite being a diversified tech leader in e-commerce, cloud, AI, and media. With Anthropic's upcoming IPO and strong competitive positioning across multiple high-growth industries, the stock deserves a valuation premium and should appreciate significantly from current levels.

At post $253.71Now $248.00-2.3% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingAI-Written Contentbullish

u/raytoei · 44d ago25 prior · 60% at 3mo

Meta’s AI Agent Muse Has Arrived. Alphabet and Amazon Should Watch Out —Barrons’s

Amazon is identified by Rosenblatt Securities as one of the best-positioned companies to capitalize on AI-driven changes in consumer shopping, leveraging its proprietary data and high-margin businesses to fund AI development.

At post $252.40Now $248.00-1.7% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish

u/reupped · 115d ago1 prior · 0% at 3mo

MSFT and AMZN both look cheap. Only one of them actually is.

AMZN trades at 28x trailing earnings near 5-year PE lows with record margins, but free cash flow turned negative in Q1 despite its scale, suggesting unsustainable AI capex burn relative to current earnings. If heavy infrastructure spending is perpetual rather than temporary, the PE multiple has no real cash generation to support it.

At post $241.70Now $248.00+2.6% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/we_have_no_control · 128d ago3 prior · 75% at 3mo

Mega-caps getting into the value territory once again (GOOGL, AMZN, META, MSFT) - generational buying opportunity

Amazon's valuation has declined to levels seen in April 2025 and represents a generational buying opportunity. The author expects Amazon will trade at $1000+ per share within 4-5 years.

At post $237.50Now $248.00+4.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d+2.9%

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish

u/BearWithMeGM · 146d ago7 prior · 63% at 3mo

Short AMZN

Selling AI stocks

Amazon's valuation, alongside other AI-exposed stocks, has decoupled from underlying supply chain risks in critical materials and postponed data center projects. The author exited all positions.

At post $261.26Now $248.00-5.1% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish

u/trsx5 · 160d ago2 prior · 33% at 3mo

“Biggest plays: $LULU / $AMZN / $USO”

After 4 years.. i did it. +107K (realized) YTD.

Listed as one of the biggest plays that contributed to the author's +107K YTD realized gain during the historic bull recovery.

At post $264.86Now $248.00-6.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish

u/Past-Collection-4291 · 171d ago1 prior · 100% at 3mo

Amazon's Chip Business Is Bigger Than AMD, Could Soon Pass Broadcom, Intel

Amazon's in-house chip business (Trainium, Inferentia) is already larger than AMD's and approaching Broadcom and Intel scale. By decoupling from expensive semiconductor supply chains through custom silicon, Amazon gains significant cost advantages and should continue gaining chip market share.

At post $274.99Now $248.00-9.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish

u/mattscott134 · 253d ago10 prior · 100% at 3mo

“AMZN calls (rage bought more today, expiration tomorrow implied)”

If AMZN goes up 8% tomorrow this will be worth $1 million. If not, I’m cooked

Author is heavily leveraged into AMZN call options betting on an 8% move up tomorrow. Position has substantial profit potential if realized, implying conviction in imminent upside despite recent underperformance.

At post $199.60Now $248.00+24.3% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/Puzzleheaded-Ear-290 · 258d ago9 prior · 60% at 3mo

Stocks I am watching out for during this selloff.

Amazon dipped below $200 and the author regrets missing the opportunity to buy more shares. At 29x P/E with Prime Video as the second-largest streaming platform and growing fundamentals, the stock is attractive during the selloff.

At post $208.72Now $248.00+18.8% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish

u/stockoscope · 260d ago12 prior · 70% at 3mo

Tech stocks lost $1 trillion this week despite beating earnings. Here's why.

Amazon's capex surging to $200B in 2026 (from $131.8B in 2025) reflects the capex-to-GDP crisis that Burry warned about. The infrastructure spending surge undermines free cash flow despite beating cloud revenue expectations, suggesting the AI monetization math may not hold.

At post $210.32Now $248.00+17.9% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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$AMZNr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish

u/QuickQuackQuinn · 292d ago3 prior · 50% at 3mo

“focusing on google, Amazon and asml”

What’s everyone’s top stock they’re excited for and heavily investing in this year?

Author is focusing on Amazon as one of their top holdings for the year, indicating confidence in the company.

At post $233.06Now $248.00+6.4% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

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